Conflict and co-operation on the future of energy in South Asia
Khurram Javed Kazi*

Rapid population growth and economic development in South Asia is raising the energy needs, which may cause inter-state as well as intra-state conflicts over the control of natural resources. The conflict over the interpretation of Indus Water Treaty (1960) between India and Pakistan has the potential to escalate due to water scarcity in the region. Similarly, there is an intra-state conflict over the control of natural resources in the Balochistan province of Pakistan.

On the positive side, South Asian countries can greatly benefit from the mineral wealth of Central Asia, by constructing pipelines carrying oil and gas. This will not only help in overcoming the power shortage in South Asia, but will also lead to liberal peace through interdependence. There is an old Kantian notion that mutual interdependent leads to peace. India and Pakistan, two major players in South Asia, can reconcile their differences by developing strong links in energy trade. The integration of South Asia with Central Asia has the potential to mitigate conflicts and bring peace and development to the region.

The paper will discuss the geopolitical significance of the Eastwards pipelines from Central Asia and its repercussions for South Asia. It will also analyse the future projects of Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India gas pipeline; and Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline project – which could later be extended to India. These energy projects have the potential to transform conflicts in South Asia and bring sustainable peace. The research will use qualitative reasoning to empirically test the hypothesis that regional integration and interdependence can mitigate conflicts in South Asia and establish sustainable peace. Finally, the research aims at drafting a policy recommendation for regional integration between South Asia and Central Asia; and the development of peace through interdependence.
* Mr. Khurram Javed Kazi is the Heyder Aliyev Fellow at Azerbaijan Diplomatic Academy, Baku, Azerbaijan. He is a Scholar-Practitioner of Conflict Resolution; a Visiting Faculty Member at Bahria University; and International Peace and Security Institute’s Mahatma Gandhi Scholar doing research on Non-violent resistance.