Economy-wide impacts of infrastructural investments in Bangladesh
Selim Raihan*
Md. Abdur Rahim**

Infrastructure is argued to be one of the critical factors for economic growth in low income countries like Bangladesh. Efficient infrastructure is very critical for both public and private investments and can promote sustainable economic and social development. Under the Sixth Five Year Plan (2010-2015),Bangladesh government aims to achieve 8 percent growth in real GDP by the end of the plan period. However, poor status of infrastructural development is acting as a serious constraint towardsrealising this growth target. Improving the country’s infrastructural system will, thus, be essential for achieving high economic growth.

 

Against this backdrop, the paper investigates economy-wide impacts of infrastructural investments in the context of Bangladesh economy. At first, a SAM multiplier model is used to explore economy-wide impacts of infrastructural investment in Bangladesh. The SAM multiplier model is a useful model to explore economy-wide effects of any exogenous shock into the economy through aggregate demand. Under this model, the economy-wide impacts of the infrastructural investment are examined by changing the total exogenous injection vector, especially investment demand in infrastructure. More specifically, the total exogenous account is manipulated to estimate their effects on output (through an output multiplier), value-added or GDP (through the GDP multiplier), and household income (through household income multiplier) and commodity demand (via commodity multipliers). Also, this paper uses a CGE model to explore the macro, sectoral, and household income and welfare impacts of infrastructural investments in Bangladesh.
* Dr. Selim Raihan is an Associate Professor at the Department of Economics, University of Dhaka and Executive Director of the South Asian Network on Economic Modeling (SANEM).  
** Md. Abdur Rahim is a Research Associate at the South Asian Network on Economic Modeling (SANEM).