Pakistan is the fourth largest cotton producer in the world, with production of 12.983 million bales during 2014. In last five years production of cotton has seen variations with production below targets in 2012 and 2013. In the coming years, cotton production may face decline due to abrupt climatic changes (including temperature fluctuations and erratic rainfall).

The present study was designed and conducted using primary and secondary data to explore the impact of climate change on Pakistan’s cotton supply chain; and forecasting the cotton sector future by 2025. 100 cotton growers from southern Punjab were randomly selected and face-to-face interviews were conducted for data collection.

Findings revealed that majority respondents have below average knowledge about climate change and only partial awareness of consequences like increased flower shedding, reduced boll size and augmented insect/pest outbreaks. Most cotton growers had not fully adopted measures like conservation of resources, cover cropping, and intercropping for coping with climatic changes, especially given lack of access to viable information. Forecasting of cotton production by 2025, undertaken on the basis of secondary data, revealed greater production rate than area of cotton cultivation and yield in Pakistan; and a negative relationship between production and yield for this decade. Climate change appeared as one of the anti-production reasons.